Maharashtra Exit Polls 2024: BJP-Led Mahayuti Likely to Regain Power

Poll of Polls Suggests Mahayuti Edge Over MVA
Exit polls for the 2024 Maharashtra Assembly elections indicate a favorable outcome for the BJP-led Mahayuti alliance. The poll of polls predicts the ruling coalition will secure a comeback, overtaking the Congress-led Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA).
News 24-Chanakya Projects a Clear Majority for Mahayuti
The News 24-Chanakya exit poll forecasts a decisive win for the Mahayuti alliance, projecting 152-160 seats. The MVA is estimated to win 130-138 seats, while other parties and independents may claim up to 8 seats in the 288-member Assembly.
Mixed Predictions on Assembly Outcome
Lokshahi Marathi Rudra: This poll predicts a hung Assembly, with Mahayuti expected to secure 128-142 seats and MVA 125-140.
Dainik Bhaskar: Similar to Lokshahi, this poll also projects a hung Assembly, giving Mahayuti 125-140 seats and MVA 135-150 seats. Others, including independents, are estimated to win 20-25 seats.
People’s Pulse Predicts a Landslide for Mahayuti
According to People’s Pulse, the BJP-led Mahayuti alliance may win a landslide victory, securing 175-195 seats. The MVA is projected to win between 85 and 112 seats.
Poll Diary Foresees Clear Mahayuti Victory
The Poll Diary exit poll also projects a clear win for the BJP-led coalition, estimating 122-186 seats for Mahayuti, 69-121 for MVA, and 12-29 for others.
Vote Share Estimates by ABP-Matrize
The ABP-Matrize exit poll predicts a 48% vote share for the BJP-led alliance, 42% for the Congress-led MVA, and 10% for others.
Party-Wise Breakdown by ABP-Matrize
Congress: 39-47 seats
Shiv Sena (UBT): 21-29 seats
NCP (Sharad Pawar faction): 35-43 seats
P-Marq and Chanakya Strategies Align with Mahayuti Lead
P-Marq: Projects 137-157 seats for Mahayuti and 126-146 for MVA.
Chanakya Strategies: Estimates 150-162 seats for Mahayuti and 130-138 for MVA.
The overall projections highlight a likely return of the BJP-led Mahayuti alliance, although a few polls indicate the possibility of a closely contested or hung Assembly.