The IMD has declared that certain regions in southern peninsular India, northwest India, and east-central, east, and northeast India will likely experience rainfall above the normal level.
This is attributed to the prevailing El Nino conditions in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean and positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) conditions in the Indian Ocean.
The IMD has also predicted that the El Nino conditions will continue throughout the season, while the positive IOD conditions are expected to weaken in the coming months.
According to forecasts, it is unlikely that the El Nino conditions, which result in warmer Pacific Ocean waters near South America and contribute to weaker monsoon winds and drier conditions in India, will persist into the upcoming monsoon season. Additionally, the Indian Ocean Dipole is characterized by variations in sea surface temperatures between the western regions of the Indian Ocean near Africa and the eastern regions near Indonesia.